Saturday, 19 July 2008

War of Attrition

Well Lee Westwood and Colin Montomerie are at Birkdale for the last two days after all! Both players got in right on the cut line of +8 so are among the first out this morning.
Conditions are severe for the early starters again and Lee Westwood is perhaps wondering why he bothered - he's already six over par for his seven holes this morning, +14 in total ... Monty has at least survived the first hole without dropping a shot or even falling out with anyone!
Predictions? With my Open bets down the swanney already it's looking like a complete lottery - only nine shots covered seventy odd players before play started this morning. The late starters may have the best of the weather again so that will favour the overnight leaders, and one or two players managed to put together a run of birdies yesterday. That said, though, I can't see anyone pulling away from the field - in difficult conditions it's too difficult a course to knock in a big sub-par round I reckon. (Warning: This from the man who tipped Czech Republic to win Euro 2008.
My tip is that any final score below par will finish in the top six, -2 or -3 will almost certainly win the Open and that a play-off for the Championship is more than likely. As to the ultimate winner - look for someone who is no worse than four shots off the pace at start of play today, i.e. no more than +3. (Translated: haven't a clue!) Okay, my three against the field now are Harrington, Duval and Furyk - so don't back any of them!

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